Rental Rates Up 18% in Phoenix – Great News For Cash Flow Real Estate Investors!

 

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JUL132012

Rental rates up 18% in Phoenix

 

Phoenix rental rates are up 18% in the last 12 months, making it one of the greatest places in the nation to invest in cash flowing real estate! Couple this with the fact that Arizona continues to grow with education across the valley as well as being one of the premiere retirement spots in the world as baby boomers are approaching retirement and rapidly moving towards Phoenix. Values and rental rates are increasing along with a greater demand for rentals, as unfortunately, foreclosures still plague the state.

 

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BPO: the most important part of a short sale

“BPO” stands for “Broker Price Opinion.” It is a report for the given value of a property, that a real estate agent will give to a lender to determine what to do with a property where they have a loan. And it is just what it sounds like, an opinion! All they do is quickly glance at the recent solds in the neighborhood, and go to the house to take pictures(they are at the property no longer than 10 minutes – a time frame that no buyer would feel comfortable making a solid offer in, given that it is not enough time to do any due diligence on a property to see what it has/needs.

Without going into too much detail here, let me just tell you I met both an appraiser and a BPO agent at a property yesterday, on a property valued somewhere in the  $2 million range. Because I met both the agent doing the BPO, and the appraiser, the property will close because they have a keen understanding of what is really going on, since I took the time to enlighten them. Can you imagine if I just left it up to the opinion of the two people who had spent no more than a couple of hours looking at the subject property?!(and in cases of cheaper house, taken no more than maybe 20 minutes analyzing the value!)

And then this morning I met another BPO agent on another property we are doing a deal on, valued around only $100,000. The property probably would have came back to the bank with a broker price opinion at $130,000 or more if I hadn’t been there to meet the agent, in addition to sending her comps and letting her know the listing history prior to her arriving at the property. I also took the time to make sure she actually looked at all of the systems in the house and pointed out needed repairs. Had I not been there the agent would have not seen any of the needed repairs or structural issues to the house. These things have a significant impact to the buyer and many agents fail to realize they have two ends of each short sale transaction to work, not just the buyer, but the bank too!

If you were to ask a room full of real estate agents what the biggest factor is in the success of a short sale transaction, I would presume you would hear dozens of different answers. Answers ranging from how severe the homeowners hardship is, to how much money in retirement accounts the homeowner has, to whether or not the person that is on the loan actually ever lived in the house or was just a cosigner, or the most common…”who is the bank?” I would like to think one or two agents would get it right, but would be surprised to hear much more than that. While these factors do play a role in the short sale settlement, they are not THE most important factor.

The answer is simple, and it only contains three letters: BPO. The BPO is the hinge of the entire short sale. If you have a high BPO you are probably not going to close your short sale, unless that is of course, if you can get another BPO ordered and have enough time to go through that process. I have seen more short sales go to foreclosure because the BPO was not addressed properly then any other reason for short sale transactions not closing.

It takes approximately 10 minutes to comp a property(look up current home sales) and send that email to the agent who is processing the BPO, prior to them arriving at the property. It takes usually no more than an hour to drive to the property, meet the agent there, and then tell them where your offer is and the listing history,  shake their hand and walk away. Sometimes you may leave the property feeling like you are going to get a high-value, and sometimes it will be the opposite, where you will leave feeling energized and know that you are going to have a slam dunk deal when the bank finds out they are getting more money out of the transaction after their closing costs then the true value of the property.

Setting up properly and processing the BPO correctly as the listing agent will be the deciding factor in 90% of short sales. I don’t care what the hardship is or how much excess cash the seller has, or even how much assets they have or none of that. I care what the value is and what the net is to the lender. Since I do have control over these things, contrary to popular opinion, I close consistently the short sales I take on.

It’s not rocket science.. Influence what you have control over. This is no different than anything else in the real estate business or for that matter, life.

To inquire about referring Joshua Gayman a short sale in the Arizona area or for assistance with negotiating a short sale of your self or for a client, or if you are a homeowner and another state just looking for guidance and true counsel, give me a call – I’d love to chat!

-Joshua Gayman

Phoenix Housing Market Trends – June 2012

The median sales price for homes in Phoenix AZ for Apr 12 to Jun 12 was $112,000. This represents an increase of 23.7%, or $21,432, compared to the prior quarter and an increase of 31.8% compared to the prior year. Sales prices have depreciated 52% over the last 5 years in Phoenix. The average listing price for Phoenix homes for sale on Trulia was $282,323 for the week ending Jul 04, which represents an increase of 0.4%, or $1,251, compared to the prior week and a decline of 0.1%, or $357, compared to the week ending Jun 13. Average price per square foot for Phoenix AZ was $200, an increase of 159.7% compared to the same period last year. Popular neighborhoods in Phoenix include Camelback East, Deer Valley, Paradise Valley, North Mountain, Maryvale, and Alhambra.

Two Rumors have been going around the Phoenix real estate market: 1.foreclosures are rising and 2. there is a “shadow inventory” of foreclosed homes the banks are sitting on.

Foreclosures are down big time in Phoenix and while we still get the occasional blip up here or there, the trend has been consistently down since the start of the year. Comparing the number of foreclosed homes for sale in January of 2012 to January of 2009 – the supply is down 92%. There will always be foreclosures, but the numbers are consistently dropping and the forecast is more of the same.

And then shadow inventory.. Shadow inventory is the homes that the banks have taken back and are sitting there vacant being held off the market in an effort to control pricing. The banks in Arizona do not have some stash of houses they are holding back. The thing about real estate is that changes of ownership cannot occur in secret – they require a public recordation to transfer ownership. So this persistent rumor is more attributable to errors in counting and tracking foreclosures than anything factual. What happens is that many houses are vacant due to homeowners vacating the premises prior to the bank actually foreclosing. I’ve walked the neighborhoods and door knocked the pending foreclosures and it is amazing how many houses are vacant.

The Phoenix market is hot and the opportunity to invest is still one of the best in history! This is a choice, and it’s not an easy one. The easy choice is to continue doing what you’re already doing. The hard choice is to beginning the process of changing your mindset—the process of choosing to be rich by investing in Arizona Real Estate. Call me. This starts with increasing your financial intelligence. Through these endeavors you will change your mindset.

I challenge you to invest in Arizona Real Estate. Will you accept the challenge?

From Facebook: “Comping a property this morning I found only one active and it had been on the market for six days. I contacted the listing agent on it to find out if they had received any offers yet to find out they have 15 offers and most are over list price! Nothing new for those who are in the market but just thought I’d throw it out there so everyone knows that no it is not cooling down yet!! Prices in the Phoenix metro area are up 32% since last August!! And one of the biggest metropolitan areas in the country there are less than 8000 homes on the market that are active and of those MANY have offers already on them just not accepted yet. % at 3.6 r u kidding me?!

Phoenix Housing Market Trends – May 2012

Those of you who are wondering what the facts are on the valley’s real estate market values, this will be a quick primer.

Despite national news or even the local news stories (shadow inventory, prices dropping, foreclosure wave coming, etc.) the fact of the matter is prices have been marching upwards at a record pace the last 3 months. The price per square foot since February 16th has jumped from $85.62 to $98.81. In three short months that is an appreciation of 15.4%. On an annualized basis that would equate to 61.6%. Yikes! This jump can be attributed to the scarcity of inventory – which had been dropping dramatically since the beginning of the year.

Do we think the market will continue appreciating at that clip? No. Inventory appears to be stabilizing – and price appreciation seem poised to do the same in June. But appreciation seems to be the theme for this year – so although we don’t expect the rate to hit a dramatic 61% we do expect it to continue its upward climb.
The Arizona market is as HOT as the summer right now! Here is a snap shot of what has been happening recently. The most sales were purchased with CASH (3967) and the largest number of homes ( 1760) were on the market for only 1-10 DAYS before they SOLD! ( ARMLS data ending April 2012). Yes that is correct…DAYS!

Financing used to purchase homes:

Cash- 3,967
Conventional- 2,544
FHA- 1,441
Other- 18
Owner- 56
VA- 264

DAYS ON MARKET vs. SOLD

0 days- 166
1 to 10 days- 1,760
11 to 20 days- 971
21 to 30 days- 633
31 to 60 days-1,349
61 to 90 days- 846
91 to 120 days- 603
121 to 180 days-907
181 to 360 days- 785